Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.147498 3.633031 4.165108 4.790998 5.506648 6.298950 7.242222
2025-02-09 2.469245 3.104434 3.858200 4.816899 6.002090 7.417525 9.234597
2025-02-16 1.987993 2.694934 3.594589 4.819618 6.440205 8.506316 11.335890
2025-02-23 1.582182 2.296883 3.265884 4.669054 6.641554 9.307218 13.173626
2025-03-02 1.254937 1.940211 2.924817 4.432872 6.672954 9.863790 14.737215
2025-03-09 1.069797 1.751315 2.783339 4.446075 7.041215 10.915798 17.112029
2025-03-16 0.894174 1.544676 2.579458 4.327343 7.183891 11.638669 19.071810
2025-03-23 0.823410 1.492996 2.606294 4.568074 7.908497 13.323419 22.704948
2025-03-30 0.746822 1.417759 2.580959 4.714123 8.489198 14.834582 26.221321
2025-04-06 0.661010 1.311581 2.485713 4.722805 8.830261 15.976584 29.235470
2025-04-13 0.555080 1.150709 2.269225 4.482147 8.694840 16.276019 30.807504
2025-04-20 0.514712 1.109829 2.267850 4.637346 9.295772 17.934383 34.977798
2025-04-27 0.492759 1.105027 2.339369 4.950874 10.251518 20.376657 40.929548
2025-05-04 0.451104 1.052523 2.309046 5.058316 10.819910 22.156405 45.830893
2025-05-11 0.409282 0.992833 2.255394 5.110059 11.281828 23.779954 50.608833
2025-05-18 0.357970 0.903102 2.124740 4.979364 11.346447 24.615794 53.892007
2025-05-25 0.306384 0.803747 1.957942 4.744448 11.154014 24.895463 56.042116
2025-06-01 0.279067 0.758862 1.908548 4.768361 11.534207 26.418431 60.992892
2025-06-08 0.246206 0.694337 1.803528 4.647106 11.567785 27.192177 64.389461
2025-06-15 0.238409 0.694124 1.854484 4.908483 12.526594 30.116477 72.894524
2025-06-22 0.225564 0.678119 1.863654 5.067187 13.257452 32.597225 80.639379
2025-06-29 0.206811 0.642443 1.817197 5.077828 13.625042 34.271463 86.672089
2025-07-06 0.178626 0.574598 1.675823 4.820569 13.285094 34.228592 88.600458